China's Internet crown jewel Alibaba filed for an
initial public offering in the U.S. The WSJ's Yun-Hee Kim speaks with
China Market Research Group Analyst Benjamin Cavender about investment
risks and upcoming challenges.
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As Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. prepares for
what might be one of the biggest initial public offerings in history, it
faces the challenge of convincing investors it will be a good buy.
Some may need more prodding.
A
number of investors and analysts said Wednesday that the more than
2,000 pages the Chinese e-commerce giant filed Tuesday leave many
important questions unanswered. They include the individual performance
of the major e-commerce platforms that make up the bulk of its revenue,
details of the business of electronic-payment affiliate Alipay, its
strategy for a string of pricey recent acquisitions and plans for
improving the way it delivers packages to Chinese customers.
Many
investors are eagerly anticipating the offering because Alibaba holds
an 80% share in the promising Chinese e-commerce market. The financial
results disclosed Tuesday showed a fast-growing company with fat profit
margins.
Still, the offering comes only a year after
U.S.-traded Chinese Internet stocks recovered from a long slump prompted
by a string of accounting scandals and worries about adequate
disclosure.
"I think there are a lot of
holes that haven't been filled," Forrester analyst
Kelland Willis
said of the filing. "People in the West have suspicions about the
way Chinese companies are operating, and they're going to want to know
specific numbers and details about Alibaba's books."
Alibaba's IPO filing raises an assortment of questions, not the least of which is transparency. James Gellert, Rapid Ratings president and CEO, joins MoneyBeat. Photo: Getty Images. |
Alibaba
has time to explain more. The e-commerce giant, which valued itself at
$109 billion in April and could fetch a valuation as high as $250
billion, is set to launch a long series of meetings with investors ahead
of the listing, expected late in the summer, according to people
familiar with the matter. The company is also likely to file amendments
to its initial filing, those people say.
Though skepticism has abated since last
year, many U.S.-listed Chinese companies still face worries among
investors about transparency. The U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission has raised questions about the accounting of more than 130
such companies in recent years.
The
Chinese affiliates of the Big Four accounting firms are appealing a U.S.
court ruling that suspended them from auditing U.S.-traded clients for
six months. The ruling was part of a broader dispute between Washington
and Beijing about U.S. regulators' access to documents related to
Chinese audit clients.
Alibaba's structure also raises the bar on disclosure, some investors say. Though company founder
Jack Ma
owns fewer shares than major shareholders
SoftBank Corp.
9984.TO -4.77%
or
Yahoo Inc.,
YHOO -6.25%
he and a group of 28 partners can nominate a majority of
directors. The filing doesn't name the partners, who it said are members
of the management of Alibaba or related companies.
Company
executives also control Alipay, which the firm describes as important
to its operations, but Alibaba itself doesn't own a stake. The filing
didn't disclose Alipay's financial results.
The
filing said the nomination system is designed to preserve "the culture
shaped by [Alibaba] founders while at the same time accounting for the
fact that founders will inevitably retire from the company."
The
scant details raise transparency concerns because Alibaba's structure
"still concentrates power into a few hands," said
Tony Hsu,
a Shanghai-based portfolio manager for U.S. hedge fund Dalton
Investments. He said he likes Alibaba's long-term prospects, but added,
"it's a little surprising for a business of this scale not to provide
more granular data."
Alibaba's main
businesses are its Chinese online shopping sites, Taobao and Tmall. But
the company didn't break out individual performance figures for the two,
instead lumping them with a third, smaller platform in a business
category it calls "China commerce" that makes up more than four-fifths
of its revenue. For the nine months ended Dec. 31, the combined business
posted revenue of 35.17 billion yuan ($5.64 billion), up 60% from the
year-earlier period.
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